Real Cartagena vs Santa Fe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
33.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2009 |
CAR
2 - 3
BAR
58%
22%
20%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2009 |
SAB
2 - 0
CAR
30%
27%
43%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
CAR
6 - 3
CHI
34%
28%
37%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2009 |
HUI
3 - 1
CAR
56%
25%
19%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
CAL
2 - 1
CAR
65%
22%
13%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Fe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2009 |
CEN
1 - 1
SFE
18%
23%
59%
|
72 | 51 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2009 |
SFE
2 - 1
ACA
63%
22%
15%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
CAL
2 - 2
SFE
55%
24%
21%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2009 |
SFE
1 - 0
PAS
52%
26%
22%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
ONC
3 - 0
SFE
50%
27%
24%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |