Real Cartagena vs Real Santander analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.6%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
11%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
UNI
0 - 1
CAR
35%
28%
38%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2018 |
PER
1 - 0
CAR
51%
26%
24%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
CAR
1 - 1
UNI
41%
27%
32%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2018 |
COR
0 - 2
CAR
50%
26%
24%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
CAR
4 - 0
BOG
66%
20%
14%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Real Santander
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
REA
2 - 2
UNI
19%
27%
54%
|
53 | 72 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
COR
2 - 0
REA
67%
21%
13%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | -2 |
| 24 Sep. 2018 |
REA
1 - 1
BOG
45%
26%
28%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2018 |
CUC
1 - 0
REA
77%
16%
8%
|
56 | 76 | 20 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2018 |
REA
1 - 3
LLA
26%
28%
46%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |