Real Cartagena vs Real Santander analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.6%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.8%
8.6%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2013 |
FOR
1 - 0
CAR
37%
25%
39%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2013 |
CAR
3 - 2
AME
58%
22%
20%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2013 |
CAR
3 - 3
UNI
60%
20%
20%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2013 |
UNI
1 - 3
CAR
38%
24%
38%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2013 |
AME
3 - 2
CAR
47%
25%
28%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Real Santander
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
REA
2 - 2
CAR
18%
24%
58%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
BUC
3 - 0
REA
54%
25%
22%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
REA
2 - 1
BAR
60%
23%
17%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2013 |
AME
1 - 1
REA
72%
18%
10%
|
52 | 70 | 18 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2013 |
REA
2 - 1
COR
24%
26%
50%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | +1 |