Real Cartagena vs Orsomarso SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.1%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.2%
10.7%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
3º
11º
4º
15
9º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
39 | 43 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 31 |
2º
|
65% | |
|
2º
|
27 | 30 |
3º
|
21.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
27 | 30 |
4º
|
32% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 29 |
5º
|
17.5% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 27 |
6º
|
41.5% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 27 |
7º
|
49.5% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 23 |
8º
|
91% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 21 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 18 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 16 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
15 | 15 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
14 | 14 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
9 | 9 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
REA
0 - 1
CAR
35%
27%
37%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2023 |
CAR
3 - 1
AFC
62%
22%
16%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2023 |
CAR
3 - 3
BOG
51%
26%
24%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
RSC
1 - 1
CAR
28%
28%
44%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
CAR
3 - 2
BJC
68%
20%
12%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Orsomarso SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
ORS
0 - 1
BJC
50%
25%
25%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
LEO
4 - 0
ORS
58%
26%
16%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2023 |
TFC
1 - 3
ORS
49%
27%
24%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +2 |
| 14 Aug. 2023 |
ORS
0 - 2
LLA
19%
28%
53%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
ORS
0 - 1
FOR
17%
27%
56%
|
53 | 72 | 19 | 0 |