Real Cartagena vs Orsomarso SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.7%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
22.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
LLA
2 - 0
CAR
47%
24%
29%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2017 |
CAR
2 - 1
LLA
35%
24%
41%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
PER
1 - 1
CAR
50%
24%
26%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
CAR
3 - 0
PER
29%
24%
48%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
ORS
3 - 1
CAR
43%
28%
30%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Orsomarso SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
LEO
1 - 0
ORS
39%
24%
38%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
ORS
1 - 0
LEO
28%
22%
51%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
ORS
3 - 1
CAR
43%
28%
30%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2017 |
BAR
2 - 0
ORS
52%
26%
22%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
LLA
1 - 2
ORS
56%
25%
19%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |