Real Cartagena vs Orsomarso SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
28.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2017 |
CAR
2 - 1
UNI
51%
25%
24%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2017 |
BAR
1 - 1
CAR
43%
25%
32%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
CAR
2 - 0
BOG
57%
23%
20%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2017 |
CUC
5 - 1
CAR
50%
26%
24%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2017 |
CAR
1 - 3
REA
50%
25%
26%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Orsomarso SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2017 |
ORS
1 - 0
LLA
42%
29%
30%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2017 |
ORS
0 - 3
AME
26%
24%
50%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
UNI
0 - 0
ORS
43%
27%
30%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2017 |
ORS
2 - 1
AFC
63%
20%
18%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
ORS
0 - 1
BAR
56%
26%
19%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |