Real Cartagena vs Once Caldas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
33.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2009 |
CAR
0 - 0
JUN
36%
26%
39%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2009 |
PER
2 - 1
CAR
65%
21%
15%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
IND
2 - 0
CAR
69%
19%
12%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2009 |
CAR
2 - 4
IND
39%
25%
36%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2009 |
CAR
2 - 1
PER
45%
25%
30%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Once Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
IND
2 - 2
ONC
54%
24%
23%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
ONC
3 - 3
ENV
52%
26%
23%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
SFE
2 - 1
ONC
48%
25%
27%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
ONC
2 - 2
CHI
45%
27%
28%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2009 |
CAR
3 - 1
ONC
38%
26%
36%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |