Real Cartagena vs Once Caldas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
36.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2009 |
NAC
0 - 0
CAR
65%
22%
13%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
CAR
3 - 2
CUC
40%
28%
32%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
MIL
0 - 0
CAR
58%
25%
18%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
CAR
2 - 3
TOL
40%
27%
33%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
JUN
3 - 1
CAR
75%
16%
9%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Once Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
ONC
2 - 1
CAL
45%
27%
28%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
PAS
5 - 1
ONC
33%
29%
38%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2009 |
ONC
2 - 1
HUI
47%
27%
25%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
ONC
1 - 2
NAC
37%
29%
34%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
PER
4 - 1
ONC
47%
25%
28%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | -1 |