Real Cartagena vs Llaneros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
35.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 1
QUI
39%
27%
34%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
FOR
4 - 0
CAR
62%
20%
18%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 2
LEO
37%
26%
38%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2023 |
CUC
0 - 0
CAR
59%
22%
19%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2023 |
LLA
2 - 1
CAR
49%
27%
24%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Llaneros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2023 |
LLA
2 - 1
FOR
44%
27%
29%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
QUI
2 - 2
LLA
46%
27%
27%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
CUC
1 - 1
LLA
53%
27%
21%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2023 |
LLA
2 - 1
CAR
49%
27%
24%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2023 |
LLA
3 - 0
AFC
64%
23%
13%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | +1 |