Real Cartagena vs Llaneros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.7%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
13.6%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
FOR
1 - 0
CAR
35%
27%
38%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2019 |
CAR
2 - 1
BAR
68%
20%
12%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2019 |
QUI
2 - 0
CAR
38%
28%
35%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
CAR
1 - 0
AFC
79%
15%
7%
|
66 | 48 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
TFC
0 - 1
CAR
32%
29%
40%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Llaneros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2019 |
LLA
1 - 1
LEO
40%
27%
34%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2019 |
COR
1 - 0
LLA
59%
24%
18%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
LLA
0 - 2
BOG
41%
27%
32%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2019 |
CHI
1 - 0
LLA
52%
26%
22%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
PER
1 - 0
LLA
65%
21%
13%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |