Real Cartagena vs Llaneros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
18%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2015 |
QUI
2 - 0
CAR
55%
24%
21%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2015 |
CAR
2 - 0
LEO
51%
26%
23%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
BUC
0 - 0
CAR
54%
25%
21%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2015 |
CAR
0 - 2
UNI
54%
25%
22%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2015 |
BAR
0 - 2
CAR
31%
26%
43%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Llaneros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2015 |
FOR
2 - 0
LLA
58%
25%
17%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
LLA
1 - 4
QUI
30%
29%
41%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
LEO
1 - 0
LLA
57%
25%
18%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
LLA
1 - 1
BUC
28%
29%
43%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
LLA
0 - 1
TFC
61%
23%
16%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | -1 |