Real Cartagena vs Leones analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
46.6%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2022 |
CHI
3 - 0
CAR
52%
24%
24%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2022 |
CAR
2 - 1
CHI
34%
26%
41%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2022 |
LEO
0 - 0
CAR
53%
24%
23%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2022 |
CAR
0 - 4
LLA
42%
26%
32%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2022 |
CAR
1 - 2
RSC
53%
25%
22%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Leones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2022 |
LEO
1 - 1
LLA
45%
27%
29%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
LLA
3 - 3
LEO
37%
25%
38%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2022 |
LEO
0 - 0
CAR
53%
24%
23%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2022 |
CHI
1 - 1
LEO
41%
26%
34%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2022 |
LEO
0 - 0
QUI
43%
30%
28%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |