Real Cartagena vs Leones analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.5%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
44.6%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2021 |
COR
3 - 1
CAR
53%
24%
23%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
ORS
1 - 1
CAR
34%
27%
39%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 1
AFC
61%
22%
17%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
BOG
0 - 0
CAR
51%
25%
25%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
CAR
3 - 1
BAR
57%
24%
19%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Leones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2021 |
LEO
0 - 0
CHI
33%
26%
41%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
AFC
1 - 3
LEO
19%
25%
57%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
LEO
1 - 0
BOG
46%
28%
26%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2021 |
BAR
0 - 1
LEO
20%
25%
55%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
LEO
2 - 0
TFC
62%
25%
14%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | +1 |