Real Cartagena vs Leones analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
19.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 3
PER
38%
26%
36%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
BOG
0 - 0
CAR
31%
27%
42%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 0
LEO
55%
24%
21%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +3 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
BAR
1 - 2
CAR
34%
25%
42%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +2 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
CAR
0 - 3
BUC
39%
28%
34%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Leones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
LEO
2 - 0
UNI
49%
26%
25%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 0
LEO
55%
24%
21%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +2 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
LEO
1 - 1
JAG
45%
23%
32%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2015 |
FOR
3 - 0
LEO
56%
26%
18%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2015 |
LEO
1 - 1
PER
38%
29%
34%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |