Real Cartagena vs Junior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.3%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
45.8%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2014 |
QUI
2 - 0
CAR
53%
25%
23%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2014 |
UNI
1 - 2
CAR
30%
25%
45%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2014 |
CAR
1 - 1
AFC
74%
16%
10%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2014 |
UNI
0 - 1
CAR
46%
24%
30%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
RSC
2 - 0
CAR
38%
27%
34%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Junior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2014 |
PAT
0 - 0
JUN
25%
27%
49%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2014 |
BAR
1 - 4
JUN
15%
22%
64%
|
79 | 52 | 27 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2014 |
JUN
1 - 3
FOR
71%
19%
10%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2014 |
RSC
1 - 0
JUN
21%
25%
55%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
AGU
0 - 0
JUN
41%
27%
32%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |