Real Cartagena vs Junior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
41%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
AME
0 - 1
CAR
63%
22%
14%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2009 |
CAR
4 - 0
UNI
61%
22%
17%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
CAR
2 - 2
EQU
33%
28%
39%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
PER
1 - 1
CAR
66%
21%
14%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2009 |
CAR
2 - 0
RSC
59%
22%
19%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Junior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
JUN
5 - 2
CAL
63%
22%
16%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2009 |
RSC
0 - 1
JUN
15%
23%
62%
|
80 | 56 | 24 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
PAS
1 - 0
JUN
24%
29%
47%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
JUN
4 - 2
ONC
58%
23%
20%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2009 |
BAR
0 - 0
JUN
18%
23%
60%
|
80 | 58 | 22 | 0 |