Real Cartagena vs Jaguares FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
19.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
CAR
0 - 3
RSC
54%
24%
22%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2016 |
JAG
0 - 1
CAR
33%
25%
42%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +2 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
BAR
2 - 2
CAR
32%
27%
41%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2016 |
CAR
0 - 0
LEO
60%
20%
20%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 3
PER
38%
26%
36%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Jaguares FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
COR
2 - 0
JAG
52%
26%
23%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2016 |
JAG
0 - 1
CAR
33%
25%
42%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
JAG
1 - 0
ENV
30%
29%
41%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2016 |
JAG
2 - 1
BAR
45%
26%
29%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
JUN
1 - 0
JAG
77%
16%
7%
|
60 | 80 | 20 | 0 |