Real Cartagena vs Fortaleza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.2%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
14.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
REA
2 - 2
CAR
18%
24%
58%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2013 |
CAR
2 - 0
MIL
34%
25%
40%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | +2 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
MIL
6 - 1
CAR
70%
18%
12%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2013 |
CAR
2 - 3
UNI
62%
20%
18%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2013 |
AFC
3 - 2
CAR
26%
26%
48%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
FOR
3 - 0
LLA
57%
25%
18%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
PER
3 - 0
FOR
48%
26%
26%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
FOR
2 - 1
RSC
58%
24%
18%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2013 |
CAR
2 - 0
FOR
65%
21%
15%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2013 |
FOR
1 - 1
BUC
58%
24%
18%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |