Real Cartagena vs Tigres FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.2%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
10%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
16.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.5%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.1%
9.7%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
3º
11º
4º
9
12º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
39 | 43 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 31 |
2º
|
65% | |
|
2º
|
27 | 30 |
3º
|
21.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
27 | 30 |
4º
|
32% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 29 |
5º
|
17.5% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 27 |
6º
|
41.5% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 27 |
7º
|
49.5% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 23 |
8º
|
91% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 21 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 18 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 16 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 15 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
14 | 14 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
9 | 9 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
BAR
0 - 0
CAR
35%
28%
38%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 0
ORS
70%
19%
11%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
REA
0 - 1
CAR
35%
27%
37%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2023 |
CAR
3 - 1
AFC
62%
22%
16%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2023 |
CAR
3 - 3
BOG
51%
26%
24%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Tigres FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2023 |
TFC
0 - 1
BOG
30%
29%
41%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
LEO
1 - 2
TFC
63%
25%
13%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | +2 |
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
TFC
0 - 1
LLA
18%
29%
53%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2023 |
RSC
2 - 0
TFC
50%
29%
21%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2023 |
TFC
1 - 3
ORS
49%
27%
24%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |