Real Cartagena vs La Equidad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
39.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
PER
1 - 1
CAR
66%
21%
14%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2009 |
CAR
2 - 0
RSC
59%
22%
19%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2009 |
CAR
1 - 3
IND
36%
28%
36%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2009 |
ENV
2 - 2
CAR
54%
27%
19%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2009 |
CAR
1 - 0
SFE
39%
27%
34%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
La Equidad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2009 |
EQU
2 - 2
UNI
54%
24%
22%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2009 |
EQU
3 - 0
CEN
73%
19%
9%
|
78 | 56 | 22 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2009 |
EQU
2 - 2
CAL
51%
27%
22%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2009 |
EQU
1 - 3
SFE
56%
24%
19%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2009 |
PAS
1 - 1
EQU
25%
30%
45%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |