Copa Colombia 1/16
Global 2-3
Real Cartagena vs Envigado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
28.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 0
UNI
34%
27%
39%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
BJC
1 - 4
CAR
28%
30%
42%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 2
LLA
34%
29%
38%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
BOG
0 - 1
CAR
23%
27%
50%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
CUC
2 - 1
CAR
56%
25%
19%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Envigado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
CHI
0 - 0
ENV
46%
28%
26%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
ALI
1 - 1
ENV
53%
25%
22%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
ENV
0 - 1
FOR
36%
29%
35%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
AME
4 - 0
ENV
54%
26%
21%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
ENV
0 - 1
SFE
33%
27%
40%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | +1 |