Real Cartagena vs Envigado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.1%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
27.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2011 |
NAC
1 - 1
CAR
66%
21%
13%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
CAR
2 - 2
PER
58%
23%
19%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
UNI
0 - 2
CAR
33%
26%
42%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
QUI
2 - 1
CAR
53%
25%
22%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
CAR
2 - 1
TOL
26%
25%
49%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Envigado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2011 |
ENV
2 - 2
RIO
55%
22%
23%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
ENV
2 - 0
MIL
37%
27%
36%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
CAL
3 - 2
ENV
69%
19%
12%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
ENV
2 - 1
CHI
42%
26%
32%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
IND
1 - 2
ENV
63%
22%
15%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | +1 |