1a B Cla. Playoffs Quarter-finals
Global 4-1
Real Cartagena vs Deportivo Pereira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.5%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
47.7%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
ORS
3 - 1
CAR
43%
28%
30%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2017 |
UNI
3 - 1
CAR
33%
27%
40%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
BOG
0 - 0
CAR
24%
26%
50%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
CAR
2 - 1
RSC
58%
23%
19%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +2 |
| 19 Sep. 2017 |
CAR
2 - 3
CUC
40%
26%
33%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Deportivo Pereira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
BAR
2 - 0
PER
33%
28%
39%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2017 |
PER
1 - 0
CHI
57%
24%
19%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
FOR
1 - 1
PER
25%
26%
48%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2017 |
PER
2 - 0
LEO
52%
25%
23%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2017 |
QUI
2 - 0
PER
40%
27%
33%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -2 |