Real Cartagena vs Deportivo Pereira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.3%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
12%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2014 |
AME
1 - 0
CAR
48%
26%
26%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2014 |
CAR
0 - 0
UNI
67%
19%
14%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2014 |
BOG
1 - 0
CAR
22%
25%
53%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2014 |
CAR
3 - 0
JAG
56%
24%
21%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
JAG
2 - 2
CAR
41%
27%
32%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Pereira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
PER
0 - 1
RIO
33%
26%
41%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
BAR
2 - 1
PER
34%
27%
40%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2014 |
PER
0 - 1
COR
46%
26%
28%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2014 |
PER
1 - 1
BUC
50%
26%
25%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2014 |
QUI
1 - 1
PER
55%
25%
20%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |