Real Cartagena vs Deportivo Pereira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
19.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
UNI
0 - 2
CAR
33%
26%
42%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
QUI
2 - 1
CAR
53%
25%
22%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
CAR
2 - 1
TOL
26%
25%
49%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2011 |
CAR
2 - 0
AGU
41%
26%
33%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
JUN
2 - 0
CAR
73%
17%
10%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Pereira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
PER
1 - 2
MIL
30%
27%
43%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
CAL
2 - 1
PER
73%
17%
10%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2011 |
PER
0 - 1
CHI
39%
27%
35%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
PER
0 - 1
ONC
24%
25%
51%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2011 |
HUI
1 - 0
PER
59%
22%
20%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | -1 |