Real Cartagena vs Deportivo Pereira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
31.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2009 |
IND
1 - 1
CAR
68%
21%
12%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
CAR
2 - 1
ENV
39%
28%
32%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
SFE
1 - 0
CAR
60%
24%
16%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
RIO
2 - 1
CAR
45%
27%
28%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2008 |
CAR
3 - 0
RIO
41%
26%
33%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Deportivo Pereira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2009 |
PER
1 - 0
CAL
42%
26%
32%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
PAS
0 - 0
PER
38%
30%
32%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
PER
0 - 1
ONC
50%
25%
25%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
PER
3 - 1
AME
32%
25%
42%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2008 |
JUN
3 - 0
PER
71%
18%
11%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | -1 |