Real Cartagena vs Deportes Tolima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
34.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
EQU
2 - 1
CAR
57%
24%
19%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
CAR
1 - 0
PER
49%
25%
26%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
CAR
1 - 1
JUN
37%
27%
36%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
ENV
2 - 1
CAR
43%
27%
30%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
IND
1 - 1
CAR
60%
24%
17%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2010 |
BAN
2 - 0
TOL
58%
22%
20%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
TOL
3 - 0
COR
70%
20%
10%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
TOL
2 - 0
OPE
60%
22%
18%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
AME
1 - 0
TOL
35%
26%
39%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2010 |
OPE
1 - 0
TOL
35%
26%
39%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |