Real Cartagena vs Deportes Quindío analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.7%
18.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
1º
9º
1º
13
6º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
4º
|
19 | 33 |
1º
|
39.5% | |
|
1º
|
22 | 32 |
2º
|
23.5% | |
|
2º
|
21 | 31 |
3º
|
21% | |
|
3º
|
20 | 28 |
4º
|
24.5% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 26 |
5º
|
24.5% | |
|
6º
|
15 | 23 |
6º
|
13.5% | |
|
11º
|
11 | 22 |
7º
|
12% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 22 |
8º
|
16% | |
|
|
8º
|
13 | 21 |
9º
|
16.5% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 21 |
10º
|
12% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 19 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
13º
|
10 | 18 |
12º
|
15% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 16 |
13º
|
16.5% | |
|
15º
|
9 | 16 |
14º
|
17.5% | |
|
12º
|
10 | 15 |
15º
|
26% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 12 |
16º
|
58.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 52% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 48% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 1
ENV
46%
25%
29%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 0
UNI
34%
27%
39%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
BJC
1 - 4
CAR
28%
30%
42%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 2
LLA
34%
29%
38%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
BOG
0 - 1
CAR
23%
27%
50%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Deportes Quindío
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
QUI
2 - 2
BOG
66%
21%
13%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
ORS
0 - 1
QUI
41%
29%
31%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
QUI
1 - 2
UNI
29%
27%
44%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
REA
0 - 2
QUI
29%
29%
43%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
RSC
2 - 1
QUI
39%
29%
33%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | -1 |