Real Cartagena vs Atlético Fútbol Club analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.6%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.9%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
16.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.4%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.8%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
15.3%
6.1%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
1º
9º
1º
7
8º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
4º
|
19 | 33 |
1º
|
39.5% | |
|
1º
|
22 | 32 |
2º
|
23.5% | |
|
2º
|
21 | 31 |
3º
|
21% | |
|
3º
|
20 | 28 |
4º
|
24.5% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 26 |
5º
|
24.5% | |
|
6º
|
15 | 23 |
6º
|
13.5% | |
|
11º
|
11 | 22 |
7º
|
12% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 22 |
8º
|
16% | |
|
8º
|
13 | 21 |
9º
|
16.5% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 21 |
10º
|
12% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 19 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
13º
|
10 | 18 |
12º
|
15% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 16 |
13º
|
16.5% | |
|
15º
|
9 | 16 |
14º
|
17.5% | |
|
12º
|
10 | 15 |
15º
|
26% | |
|
|
16º
|
7 | 12 |
16º
|
58.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 99.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
BAR
0 - 1
CAR
29%
28%
43%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 0
QUI
57%
25%
19%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 1
ENV
46%
25%
29%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 0
UNI
34%
27%
39%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
BJC
1 - 4
CAR
28%
30%
42%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Atlético Fútbol Club
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
ORS
1 - 0
AFC
64%
22%
14%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
AFC
1 - 0
RSC
20%
26%
54%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
HUI
2 - 1
AFC
73%
18%
9%
|
53 | 73 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
AFC
0 - 1
REA
33%
27%
40%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
LLA
3 - 0
AFC
77%
17%
6%
|
54 | 79 | 25 | 0 |