Real Cartagena vs Atlético Fútbol Club analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.7%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
12.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
COR
2 - 0
CAR
43%
27%
30%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
CAR
1 - 1
BOG
60%
21%
19%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2019 |
CHI
2 - 1
CAR
46%
25%
29%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
CAR
2 - 2
FOR
56%
22%
22%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2019 |
FOR
1 - 3
CAR
36%
25%
39%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Fútbol Club
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
AFC
1 - 0
BJC
46%
26%
28%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2019 |
CHI
2 - 0
AFC
64%
22%
14%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | -2 |
| 08 Oct. 2019 |
AFC
1 - 2
LLA
35%
29%
36%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
FOR
1 - 1
AFC
57%
24%
20%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
AFC
0 - 0
BAR
42%
28%
30%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |