Real Cartagena vs Atlético Fútbol Club analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.1%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
11.6%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2016 |
UNI
2 - 0
CAR
32%
28%
39%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2016 |
AME
1 - 0
CAR
54%
25%
22%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 0
BAR
71%
18%
11%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 2
QUI
39%
26%
35%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
TFC
0 - 0
CAR
28%
28%
43%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Fútbol Club
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2016 |
BOG
1 - 0
AFC
45%
27%
29%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
AFC
1 - 0
QUI
17%
25%
58%
|
58 | 78 | 20 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2016 |
AFC
1 - 1
LEO
32%
27%
41%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
TFC
0 - 0
AFC
49%
27%
24%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2016 |
AFC
0 - 0
COR
23%
23%
53%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | +1 |