Real Cartagena vs Atlético Fútbol Club analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.7%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
12%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2013 |
CAR
3 - 1
UNI
50%
22%
28%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
FOR
2 - 1
CAR
38%
27%
35%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2013 |
UNI
0 - 0
CAR
33%
26%
41%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2013 |
CAR
2 - 0
LLA
66%
21%
13%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2013 |
CAR
2 - 2
RSC
59%
21%
19%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Fútbol Club
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2013 |
COR
1 - 1
AFC
58%
22%
20%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2013 |
AFC
2 - 2
BUC
40%
27%
33%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2013 |
AFC
2 - 1
UNI
49%
24%
27%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
BAR
1 - 2
AFC
36%
26%
39%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2013 |
CAL
3 - 0
AFC
78%
15%
6%
|
55 | 80 | 25 | -1 |