Real Cartagena vs Cúcuta Deportivo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
21.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2016 |
NAC
1 - 2
CAR
61%
22%
17%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
RSC
0 - 2
CAR
38%
28%
34%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 1
BAR
69%
19%
12%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2016 |
PER
2 - 1
CAR
58%
23%
19%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
CAR
3 - 1
BOG
64%
20%
16%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Cúcuta Deportivo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
CUC
1 - 0
QUI
29%
29%
42%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2016 |
EQU
0 - 0
CUC
44%
26%
30%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
TFC
1 - 0
CUC
31%
29%
40%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2016 |
CUC
0 - 0
LLA
47%
28%
26%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
UNI
1 - 3
CUC
46%
26%
28%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |