Real Cartagena vs Boyacá Chicó analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
40.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2022 |
QUI
5 - 0
CAR
49%
27%
24%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
CAR
2 - 0
LLA
41%
29%
31%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +2 |
| 28 Mar. 2022 |
ORS
1 - 2
CAR
36%
27%
37%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
CAR
1 - 1
BOG
40%
27%
33%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2022 |
LEO
1 - 0
CAR
51%
27%
23%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Boyacá Chicó
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
CHI
1 - 0
HUI
62%
24%
14%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
BAR
2 - 2
CHI
16%
27%
57%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
CHI
0 - 1
FOR
43%
28%
29%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2022 |
TFC
1 - 0
CHI
22%
29%
49%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2022 |
REA
2 - 1
CHI
31%
25%
44%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |