Real Cartagena vs Bogotá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
18.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2019 |
CHI
5 - 2
CAR
40%
28%
32%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2019 |
CAR
3 - 0
LLA
66%
21%
14%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
FOR
1 - 0
CAR
35%
27%
38%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2019 |
CAR
2 - 1
BAR
68%
20%
12%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2019 |
QUI
2 - 0
CAR
38%
28%
35%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Bogotá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2019 |
BOG
3 - 3
LEO
45%
26%
29%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
COR
1 - 0
BOG
50%
26%
24%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2019 |
PER
1 - 0
BOG
63%
22%
15%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2019 |
BOG
0 - 1
CHI
45%
27%
29%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
LLA
0 - 2
BOG
41%
27%
32%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |