Real Cartagena vs Bogotá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.7%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
14.2%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2015 |
FOR
1 - 0
CAR
46%
27%
27%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2015 |
CAR
3 - 0
LLA
60%
22%
18%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2015 |
QUI
2 - 0
CAR
55%
24%
21%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2015 |
CAR
2 - 0
LEO
51%
26%
23%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
BUC
0 - 0
CAR
54%
25%
21%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Bogotá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
LLA
0 - 1
BOG
50%
26%
24%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2015 |
BOG
2 - 2
QUI
19%
27%
54%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
LEO
3 - 0
BOG
61%
23%
16%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2015 |
BOG
0 - 1
BUC
22%
28%
50%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
UNI
1 - 0
BOG
59%
24%
18%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |