Real Cartagena vs Bogotá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
11.5%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
JAG
2 - 0
CAR
47%
27%
26%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
CAR
3 - 2
JAG
49%
26%
25%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2014 |
CAR
1 - 0
TFC
75%
17%
9%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2014 |
CUC
1 - 0
CAR
42%
28%
30%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2014 |
CAR
0 - 0
BAR
75%
16%
9%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Bogotá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
BOG
0 - 1
RIO
25%
26%
49%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
BOG
1 - 1
LLA
31%
29%
40%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2014 |
BAR
2 - 1
BOG
43%
26%
31%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2014 |
BOG
0 - 0
COR
29%
27%
44%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2014 |
SFE
3 - 1
BOG
78%
16%
6%
|
54 | 80 | 26 | 0 |