Real Cartagena vs Barranquilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
23.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2022 |
CHI
4 - 0
CAR
57%
25%
18%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
CAR
2 - 2
REA
44%
27%
29%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
FOR
3 - 1
CAR
63%
21%
16%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2022 |
CAR
0 - 1
ORS
58%
23%
19%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2022 |
CAR
1 - 2
CUC
29%
27%
44%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Barranquilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
BAR
1 - 1
QUI
21%
30%
49%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
BOG
1 - 0
BAR
57%
24%
19%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2022 |
BAR
3 - 1
LEO
16%
25%
59%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | +2 |
| 04 Aug. 2022 |
BAR
1 - 1
BJC
49%
27%
24%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
LLA
1 - 1
BAR
62%
23%
15%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |