Real Cartagena vs Barranquilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.8%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
32%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
RSC
1 - 1
CAR
33%
28%
39%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
CAR
1 - 1
ORS
53%
25%
22%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2018 |
CAR
3 - 1
COR
39%
26%
35%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
LLA
1 - 0
CAR
47%
26%
27%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2018 |
CAR
1 - 2
CUC
30%
27%
43%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Barranquilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
BAR
0 - 0
CHI
49%
26%
26%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
LLA
3 - 1
BAR
42%
28%
30%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -2 |
| 15 Oct. 2018 |
FOR
3 - 3
BAR
47%
27%
25%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
BAR
2 - 2
PER
30%
27%
43%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
BAR
0 - 1
QUI
40%
27%
33%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |