Real Cartagena vs Barranquilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.9%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.4%
6.7%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2013 |
CAR
1 - 2
JUN
34%
26%
40%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2013 |
AME
0 - 0
CAR
67%
20%
13%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2013 |
UNI
1 - 2
CAR
53%
23%
24%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2013 |
CAR
2 - 0
COR
49%
25%
27%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2013 |
CAR
5 - 1
UNI
62%
20%
17%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Barranquilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2013 |
RSC
1 - 1
BAR
65%
22%
14%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
BAR
1 - 3
BUC
33%
27%
40%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2013 |
JUN
0 - 0
BAR
87%
10%
3%
|
49 | 77 | 28 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
UNI
0 - 1
BAR
67%
20%
13%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2013 |
BAR
1 - 1
UNI
16%
21%
64%
|
48 | 65 | 17 | 0 |