Real Cartagena vs América de Cali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
30%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
CAR
4 - 0
BOG
66%
20%
14%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2015 |
FOR
1 - 0
CAR
46%
27%
27%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2015 |
CAR
3 - 0
LLA
60%
22%
18%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2015 |
QUI
2 - 0
CAR
55%
24%
21%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2015 |
CAR
2 - 0
LEO
51%
26%
23%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
América de Cali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2015 |
AME
2 - 1
LLA
68%
20%
12%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2015 |
QUI
0 - 2
AME
51%
26%
23%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2015 |
AME
3 - 1
LEO
55%
26%
20%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2015 |
BUC
4 - 1
AME
49%
27%
24%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
UNI
2 - 2
AME
40%
28%
32%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |