Real Cartagena vs América de Cali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
28.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2011 |
EQU
0 - 0
CAR
62%
23%
15%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
CAR
1 - 1
ENV
48%
25%
27%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
NAC
1 - 1
CAR
66%
21%
13%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
CAR
2 - 2
PER
58%
23%
19%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
UNI
0 - 2
CAR
33%
26%
42%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
América de Cali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2011 |
AME
1 - 1
MIL
44%
26%
30%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
CAL
0 - 1
AME
69%
19%
12%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2011 |
AME
3 - 0
AFC
69%
18%
12%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
AME
2 - 1
CHI
51%
25%
24%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2011 |
AME
0 - 0
CAL
35%
26%
38%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |