Real Cartagena vs América de Cali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
47.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2009 |
CAR
1 - 2
SAB
67%
20%
13%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
EQU
0 - 0
CAR
65%
22%
13%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
CAR
3 - 1
PER
40%
28%
32%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2009 |
IND
1 - 1
CAR
68%
21%
12%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
CAR
2 - 1
ENV
39%
28%
32%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
América de Cali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2009 |
AME
1 - 3
SAO
31%
28%
42%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2009 |
AME
0 - 0
AFC
80%
15%
6%
|
80 | 57 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2009 |
AME
0 - 1
CAL
59%
23%
18%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
PAS
1 - 0
AME
23%
28%
49%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2009 |
AME
1 - 1
ONC
64%
22%
15%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |