Real Bethlehem vs San Marcial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.3%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
65.7%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.2%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-94%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Bethlehem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
BAÑ
1 - 3
RBF
40%
21%
38%
|
9 | 6 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
RBF
0 - 4
NAX
41%
22%
37%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
PRA
7 - 0
RBF
82%
11%
7%
|
10 | 25 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
RBF
0 - 2
CAL
34%
23%
44%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
VAR
2 - 2
RBF
78%
13%
9%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
San Marcial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
MAR
5 - 1
SPO
79%
13%
9%
|
22 | 11 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
PRM
1 - 1
MAR
40%
22%
39%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
MAR
2 - 0
VIL
64%
18%
17%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
MAR
3 - 3
CEN
65%
19%
16%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
REB
1 - 0
MAR
14%
19%
67%
|
23 | 14 | 9 | -1 |