Real Bethlehem vs Alfaro B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.2%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.2%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
7%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3.3%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.2%
32.6%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
4%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-81%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Bethlehem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
AUT
1 - 0
RBF
86%
10%
4%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
RBF
1 - 2
CDB
7%
12%
81%
|
7 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
RBF
3 - 2
VIL
5%
11%
84%
|
5 | 17 | 12 | +2 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
TED
4 - 1
RBF
90%
8%
3%
|
5 | 20 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
RBF
1 - 6
PRA
5%
11%
84%
|
5 | 20 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Alfaro B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
CFC
1 - 3
VAR
12%
17%
71%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
BAÑ
3 - 0
CFC
59%
20%
21%
|
8 | 10 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
CFC
0 - 2
AUT
12%
18%
70%
|
8 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
CDB
5 - 1
CFC
83%
11%
6%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
CFC
1 - 1
CDS
57%
20%
23%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |