Real Bethlehem vs CD San Lorenzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.6%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
18.9%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3.3%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.3%
34.1%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
10%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Bethlehem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 0
RBF
92%
6%
2%
|
9 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
RBF
0 - 3
TED
9%
14%
77%
|
9 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
PRA
3 - 1
RBF
87%
9%
4%
|
9 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
RBF
0 - 2
RAP
27%
20%
54%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
RRF
4 - 1
RBF
85%
10%
5%
|
10 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
CD San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
CDS
1 - 4
VAR
11%
16%
73%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
BAÑ
3 - 1
CDS
76%
14%
10%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
CDS
3 - 1
CFC
41%
22%
37%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
CDS
3 - 1
SDS
49%
21%
31%
|
7 | 6 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
BAÑ
4 - 3
CDS
77%
14%
9%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |