Real Bethlehem vs Calasancio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.5%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.6%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
43.6%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-95%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Bethlehem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2024 |
VAR
2 - 2
RBF
78%
13%
9%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
RBF
3 - 1
ILO
63%
18%
19%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +2 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
TDN
3 - 3
RBF
30%
22%
48%
|
10 | 6 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
RBF
0 - 5
PRA
13%
16%
71%
|
11 | 24 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
VIL
7 - 0
RBF
77%
14%
10%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Calasancio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
CAL
2 - 2
VAR
29%
23%
49%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
ALD
1 - 3
CAL
65%
19%
17%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
CAL
1 - 0
ILO
66%
19%
16%
|
14 | 8 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
BAÑ
0 - 3
CAL
33%
24%
43%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
CAL
2 - 1
TDN
65%
19%
16%
|
13 | 6 | 7 | 0 |