Real Avilés Industrial B vs CD Covadonga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
53.7%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Avilés Industrial B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
UPL
4 - 0
AVI
67%
21%
13%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
AVI
1 - 1
CEA
27%
25%
48%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
URR
2 - 1
AVI
59%
21%
20%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
AVI
4 - 2
LUA
61%
21%
17%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
LEN
1 - 1
AVI
33%
24%
43%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
CD Covadonga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
COV
3 - 2
CAN
79%
14%
7%
|
32 | 17 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
CON
1 - 1
COV
33%
27%
41%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
COV
3 - 3
LEA
58%
22%
20%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
ATL
0 - 2
COV
27%
26%
48%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
ROB
0 - 3
COV
26%
26%
48%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | +1 |