Real Avilés Industrial vs Real Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.7%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
58%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Avilés Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 1941 |
AVI
2 - 5
DEP
30%
24%
46%
|
45 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1941 |
RUN
5 - 1
AVI
72%
14%
13%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 1941 |
AVI
1 - 1
OSA
28%
24%
48%
|
44 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1940 |
ARE
1 - 1
AVI
73%
14%
13%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1940 |
RCF
4 - 2
AVI
72%
15%
13%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 1941 |
SPO
4 - 0
RSO
53%
22%
26%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1941 |
RAC
2 - 5
SPO
71%
15%
14%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | +2 |
| 19 Jan. 1941 |
SPO
2 - 2
SLA
78%
13%
9%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 1941 |
BAR
6 - 1
SPO
35%
24%
41%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 1941 |
SPO
3 - 2
RCF
71%
16%
13%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |