Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 1-1
Real Avilés Industrial vs Sporting Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
18.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Avilés Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1987 |
AVI
1 - 0
EIB
33%
33%
35%
|
32 | 58 | 26 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1987 |
SPB
1 - 1
AVI
59%
22%
19%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +2 |
| 30 Aug. 1987 |
LEM
3 - 1
AVI
64%
21%
15%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -2 |
| 17 May. 1987 |
AVI
1 - 2
SIE
77%
15%
8%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1987 |
PIL
1 - 0
AVI
16%
26%
58%
|
33 | 16 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1987 |
SIE
0 - 2
SPB
38%
26%
36%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1987 |
SPB
1 - 1
AVI
59%
22%
19%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 1987 |
SPB
0 - 0
LEN
78%
15%
7%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 May. 1987 |
SPB
5 - 0
ATL
77%
16%
7%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | +2 |
| 10 May. 1987 |
PCF
0 - 2
SPB
27%
26%
47%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | +1 |